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Quarterfinal 1-22018 CT FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red428
195232.7
176199.9
3182129.7
Blue166
3654128.4
4557184.7
2064134.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4562460100200300400500600700800428166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
232.70.0
232.7→232.7
Auto24.9
Teleop175.3
End32.2
red by 48.0
4557
Unranked
184.70.0
184.7→184.7
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
Second
176
Unranked
199.90.0
199.9→199.9
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
red by 65.4
2064
Unranked
134.40.0
134.4→134.4
Auto18.3
Teleop100.0
End15.2
Third
3182
Unranked
129.70.0
129.7→129.7
Auto16.8
Teleop91.9
End22.3
red by 1.3
3654
Unranked
128.40.0
128.4→128.4
Auto17.9
Teleop94.2
End17.2