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Semifinal 1-22018 CT FIRST State Robotics Championship
Red456
195232.7
176199.9
3182129.7
Blue322
558162.2
2168189.5
155128.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4412800100200400500600700456322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
232.70.0
232.7→232.7
Auto24.9
Teleop175.3
End32.2
red by 43.2
2168
Unranked
189.50.0
189.5→189.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
Second
176
Unranked
199.90.0
199.9→199.9
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
red by 37.6
558
Unranked
162.20.0
162.2→162.2
Auto22.4
Teleop113.5
End27.5
Third
3182
Unranked
129.70.0
129.7→129.7
Auto16.8
Teleop91.9
End22.3
red by 0.9
155
Unranked
128.80.0
128.8→128.8
Auto20.2
Teleop94.2
End17.0