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Red451
558162.2
2168189.5
155128.8
Blue203
173144.7
1699153.1
3719122.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3952940100200500600700451203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
Unranked
189.50.0
189.5189.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
red by 36.4
1699
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto19.1
Teleop113.7
End18.2
Second
558
Unranked
162.20.0
162.2162.2
Auto22.4
Teleop113.5
End27.5
red by 17.6
173
Unranked
144.70.0
144.7144.7
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
Third
155
Unranked
128.80.0
128.8128.8
Auto20.2
Teleop94.2
End17.0
red by 6.9
3719
Unranked
122.00.0
122.0122.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4