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Red423
177203.3
230217.8
178145.4
Blue217
2067160.2
236155.5
4055153.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4323090100200500600700423217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
217.80.0
217.8217.8
Auto23.8
Teleop168.1
End25.3
red by 57.6
2067
Unranked
160.20.0
160.2160.2
Auto22.0
Teleop115.3
End24.5
Second
177
Unranked
203.30.0
203.3203.3
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
red by 47.8
236
Unranked
155.50.0
155.5155.5
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
Third
178
Unranked
145.40.0
145.4145.4
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
blue by 7.7
4055
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto18.9
Teleop104.5
End31.5