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Red176
228165.8
4055153.1
236155.5
Blue469
1699153.1
176199.9
177203.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3034300100200500600700176469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
Unranked
165.80.0
165.8165.8
Auto18.5
Teleop127.5
End20.4
blue by 37.5
177
Unranked
203.30.0
203.3203.3
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
Second
236
Unranked
155.50.0
155.5155.5
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
blue by 44.3
176
Unranked
199.90.0
199.9199.9
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
Third
4055
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto18.9
Teleop104.5
End31.5
Level
1699
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto19.1
Teleop113.7
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest odds87%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss odds47%Face the Boss odds