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Red270
3525118.6
178145.4
173144.7
Blue406
3719122.0
2168189.5
558162.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683990100200500600700800270406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
Unranked
145.40.0
145.4145.4
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
blue by 44.1
2168
Unranked
189.50.0
189.5189.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
Second
173
Unranked
144.70.0
144.7144.7
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
blue by 17.6
558
Unranked
162.20.0
162.2162.2
Auto22.4
Teleop113.5
End27.5
Third
3525
Unranked
118.60.0
118.6118.6
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End20.9
blue by 3.4
3719
Unranked
122.00.0
122.0122.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest odds88%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds12%Face the Boss odds