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Red274
155128.8
178145.4
558162.2
Blue203
3654128.4
3182129.7
999141.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341349100200300400500600274203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
Unranked
162.20.0
162.2162.2
Auto22.4
Teleop113.5
End27.5
red by 20.9
999
Unranked
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
Second
178
Unranked
145.40.0
145.4145.4
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
red by 15.7
3182
Unranked
129.70.0
129.7129.7
Auto16.8
Teleop91.9
End22.3
Third
155
Unranked
128.80.0
128.8128.8
Auto20.2
Teleop94.2
End17.0
red by 0.4
3654
Unranked
128.40.0
128.4128.4
Auto17.9
Teleop94.2
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest odds59%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds