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Red327
181156.0
1991123.3
3719122.0
Blue312
3146153.1
236155.5
2064134.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3073780100200500600700327312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
Unranked
156.00.0
156.0156.0
Auto18.6
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 0.4
236
Unranked
155.50.0
155.5155.5
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
Second
1991
Unranked
123.30.0
123.3123.3
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End12.3
blue by 29.7
3146
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto18.6
Teleop109.9
End25.5
Third
3719
Unranked
122.00.0
122.0122.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4
blue by 12.5
2064
Unranked
134.40.0
134.4134.4
Auto18.3
Teleop100.0
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest odds77%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds