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Red683
176199.9
230217.8
3654128.4
Blue181
4055153.1
3525118.6
155128.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4452570100200300400500600700800683181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
217.80.0
217.8217.8
Auto23.8
Teleop168.1
End25.3
red by 64.7
4055
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto18.9
Teleop104.5
End31.5
Second
176
Unranked
199.90.0
199.9199.9
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
red by 71.0
155
Unranked
128.80.0
128.8128.8
Auto20.2
Teleop94.2
End17.0
Third
3654
Unranked
128.40.0
128.4128.4
Auto17.9
Teleop94.2
End17.2
red by 9.8
3525
Unranked
118.60.0
118.6118.6
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest odds83%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds