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Red166
173144.7
1699153.1
2168189.5
Blue282
177203.3
7153112.0
230217.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3113820100200500600700166282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
Unranked
189.50.0
189.5189.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
blue by 28.3
230
Unranked
217.80.0
217.8217.8
Auto23.8
Teleop168.1
End25.3
Second
1699
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto19.1
Teleop113.7
End18.2
blue by 50.2
177
Unranked
203.30.0
203.3203.3
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
Third
173
Unranked
144.70.0
144.7144.7
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
red by 32.7
7153
Unranked
112.00.0
112.0112.0
Auto16.3
Teleop82.5
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest odds85%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds83%Face the Boss odds