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Red254
999141.4
2067160.2
3146153.1
Blue439
178145.4
236155.5
176199.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3044050100200500600700800254439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
Unranked
160.20.0
160.2160.2
Auto22.0
Teleop115.3
End24.5
blue by 39.7
176
Unranked
199.90.0
199.9199.9
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
Second
3146
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto18.6
Teleop109.9
End25.5
blue by 2.4
236
Unranked
155.50.0
155.5155.5
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
Third
999
Unranked
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
blue by 4.0
178
Unranked
145.40.0
145.4145.4
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest odds82%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds23%Face the Boss odds