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Red282
4557184.7
155128.8
1699153.1
Blue336
3719122.0
173144.7
195232.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289417100200500600700800282336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
Unranked
184.70.0
184.7184.7
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
blue by 48.0
195
Unranked
232.70.0
232.7232.7
Auto24.9
Teleop175.3
End32.2
Second
1699
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto19.1
Teleop113.7
End18.2
red by 8.4
173
Unranked
144.70.0
144.7144.7
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
Third
155
Unranked
128.80.0
128.8128.8
Auto20.2
Teleop94.2
End17.0
red by 6.9
3719
Unranked
122.00.0
122.0122.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest odds92%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds44%Face the Boss odds