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Red417
3525118.6
177203.3
228165.8
Blue134
1991123.3
3654128.4
7153112.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262520100200300500600417134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
203.30.0
203.3203.3
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
red by 74.9
3654
Unranked
128.40.0
128.4128.4
Auto17.9
Teleop94.2
End17.2
Second
228
Unranked
165.80.0
165.8165.8
Auto18.5
Teleop127.5
End20.4
red by 42.5
1991
Unranked
123.30.0
123.3123.3
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End12.3
Third
3525
Unranked
118.60.0
118.6118.6
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End20.9
red by 6.6
7153
Unranked
112.00.0
112.0112.0
Auto16.3
Teleop82.5
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest odds47%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
44%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds