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Red478
177203.3
181156.0
3182129.7
Blue277
999141.4
3719122.0
3525118.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342370100300500600700800478277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
203.30.0
203.3203.3
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
red by 61.9
999
Unranked
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
Second
181
Unranked
156.00.0
156.0156.0
Auto18.6
Teleop110.4
End29.7
red by 34.0
3719
Unranked
122.00.0
122.0122.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4
Third
3182
Unranked
129.70.0
129.7129.7
Auto16.8
Teleop91.9
End22.3
red by 11.1
3525
Unranked
118.60.0
118.6118.6
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest odds41%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
51%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds