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Red318
2168189.5
236155.5
7153112.0
Blue274
3654128.4
2064134.4
4557184.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3912900100200500600700800318274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
Unranked
189.50.0
189.5189.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
red by 4.8
4557
Unranked
184.70.0
184.7184.7
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
Second
236
Unranked
155.50.0
155.5155.5
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
red by 21.1
2064
Unranked
134.40.0
134.4134.4
Auto18.3
Teleop100.0
End15.2
Third
7153
Unranked
112.00.0
112.0112.0
Auto16.3
Teleop82.5
End16.2
blue by 16.4
3654
Unranked
128.40.0
128.4128.4
Auto17.9
Teleop94.2
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest odds92%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds13%Face the Boss odds