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Red427
230217.8
999141.4
1991123.3
Blue154
1699153.1
3719122.0
2067160.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832800100200500600700800427154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
217.80.0
217.8217.8
Auto23.8
Teleop168.1
End25.3
red by 57.6
2067
Unranked
160.20.0
160.2160.2
Auto22.0
Teleop115.3
End24.5
Second
999
Unranked
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
blue by 11.7
1699
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto19.1
Teleop113.7
End18.2
Third
1991
Unranked
123.30.0
123.3123.3
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End12.3
red by 1.4
3719
Unranked
122.00.0
122.0122.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.4
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest odds73%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds