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Red402
228165.8
3146153.1
176199.9
Blue179
173144.7
558162.2
3182129.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4322990100200500600700800402179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
199.90.0
199.9199.9
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
red by 37.6
558
Unranked
162.20.0
162.2162.2
Auto22.4
Teleop113.5
End27.5
Second
228
Unranked
165.80.0
165.8165.8
Auto18.5
Teleop127.5
End20.4
red by 21.1
173
Unranked
144.70.0
144.7144.7
Auto19.2
Teleop109.8
End15.6
Third
3146
Unranked
153.10.0
153.1153.1
Auto18.6
Teleop109.9
End25.5
red by 23.4
3182
Unranked
129.70.0
129.7129.7
Auto16.8
Teleop91.9
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest odds83%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss odds16%Face the Boss odds