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Red434
4557179.6
2067163.0
155116.5
Blue180
2064131.3
1099151.1
4055142.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354347200250300400450434180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.60.2
180.2180.0
Auto19.8
Teleop132.7
End27.0
red by 28.5
151.10.4
150.5150.8
Auto19.0
Teleop114.9
End16.5
Second
163.00.3
161.0161.4
Auto21.9
Teleop119.8
End23.4
red by 20.6
4055
#16
142.30.2
143.3143.1
Auto17.8
Teleop99.5
End24.7
Third
155
#18
116.50.3
114.7115.0
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End12.9
blue by 14.8
2064
#19
131.30.3
130.8131.1
Auto17.3
Teleop101.0
End12.4