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Red318
4557179.6
2067163.0
155116.5
Blue321
2064131.3
1099151.1
4055142.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359337250300400450318321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.60.1
180.0179.8
Auto19.8
Teleop132.7
End27.0
red by 28.5
151.10.2
150.8151.0
Auto19.0
Teleop114.9
End16.5
Second
163.00.4
161.4161.8
Auto21.9
Teleop119.8
End23.4
red by 20.6
4055
#16
142.30.4
143.1142.7
Auto17.8
Teleop99.5
End24.7
Third
155
#18
116.50.4
115.0115.3
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End12.9
blue by 14.8
2064
#19
131.30.1
131.1131.2
Auto17.3
Teleop101.0
End12.4