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Red321
3555162.7
6811107.6
3958121.0
Blue254
2064131.3
5687190.8
1071120.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2273960100300500600700321254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.71.0
149.1150.2
Auto19.9
Teleop118.8
End25.5
blue by 28.1
190.80.7
183.9184.6
Auto23.0
Teleop147.6
End22.0
Second
3958
#21
121.00.7
116.4115.7
Auto19.6
Teleop91.5
End12.5
blue by 10.3
2064
#19
131.36.4
118.6124.9
Auto17.3
Teleop101.0
End12.4
Third
6811
#24
107.65.6
89.995.5
Auto17.4
Teleop80.1
End7.0
blue by 12.7
1071
#27
120.34.7
117.4122.0
Auto13.9
Teleop89.8
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed