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Red379
3104111.8
195202.4
4055142.3
Blue294
228165.8
178145.4
467133.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325322200250300350400450379294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
202.45.5
164.0169.5
Auto28.4
Teleop154.4
End17.6
red by 36.6
228
#12
165.80.1
165.1165.1
Auto18.5
Teleop127.5
End20.4
Second
4055
#16
142.30.5
138.8138.4
Auto17.8
Teleop99.5
End24.7
blue by 3.0
178
#15
145.41.4
140.8142.2
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Third
3104
#22
111.83.9
96.8100.7
Auto16.9
Teleop85.3
End7.6
blue by 21.7
467
#10
133.50.2
123.3123.5
Auto17.5
Teleop100.2
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned