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Red203
5746127.6
2064131.3
3104111.8
Blue357
3634106.9
5687190.8
5856147.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303820100200300500600203357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#19
131.314.6
87.4102.0
Auto17.3
Teleop101.0
End12.4
blue by 59.5
190.81.0
181.7182.7
Auto23.0
Teleop147.6
End22.0
Second
5746
#13
127.615.9
75.291.1
Auto18.6
Teleop97.7
End7.5
blue by 20.1
5856
#17
147.71.6
141.9143.5
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End18.1
Third
3104
#22
111.817.0
65.482.4
Auto16.9
Teleop85.3
End7.6
red by 4.9
3634
#30
106.916.0
74.790.7
Auto15.1
Teleop85.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed