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Red247
6367107.4
3958121.0
467133.5
Blue328
7127116.3
4557179.6
3555162.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262365100200300400500600247328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#10
133.51.3
120.6121.9
Auto17.5
Teleop100.2
End17.1
blue by 46.1
179.61.4
165.7167.1
Auto19.8
Teleop132.7
End27.0
Second
3958
#21
121.00.6
119.1118.5
Auto19.6
Teleop91.5
End12.5
blue by 41.8
162.71.0
146.6147.6
Auto19.9
Teleop118.8
End25.5
Third
6367
#28
107.417.6
60.377.9
Auto15.8
Teleop82.5
End10.1
blue by 9.0
7127
#23
116.353.3
131.077.7
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed