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Red197
228165.8
6811107.6
1071120.3
Blue413
95175.5
1099151.1
7127116.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256359100200300400500197413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#12
165.81.1
165.8166.9
Auto18.5
Teleop127.5
End20.4
blue by 9.7
95
#1
175.51.8
160.9162.7
Auto18.8
Teleop142.6
End16.4
Second
1071
#27
120.31.7
122.5120.8
Auto13.9
Teleop89.8
End15.6
blue by 30.8
151.11.4
143.3144.7
Auto19.0
Teleop114.9
End16.5
Third
6811
#24
107.62.6
105.7108.3
Auto17.4
Teleop80.1
End7.0
blue by 8.7
7127
#23
116.31.1
107.4108.5
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed