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Red279
178145.4
3104111.8
6367107.4
Blue426
5746127.6
2836155.9
155116.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260321100200400500279426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#15
145.40.2
144.8144.7
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
blue by 10.5
155.94.5
140.5145.1
Auto22.2
Teleop114.9
End16.9
Second
3104
#22
111.80.1
106.3106.5
Auto16.9
Teleop85.3
End7.6
blue by 15.8
5746
#13
127.62.8
115.4118.2
Auto18.6
Teleop97.7
End7.5
Third
6367
#28
107.41.7
103.3101.6
Auto15.8
Teleop82.5
End10.1
blue by 9.1
155
#18
116.50.3
112.7113.0
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed