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Red272
69121.3
3958121.0
3634106.9
Blue409
5687190.8
6346104.8
2067163.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1773940100300500600272409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
#25
121.31.7
118.6116.9
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End7.9
blue by 69.5
190.80.4
184.1183.6
Auto23.0
Teleop147.6
End22.0
Second
3958
#21
121.00.4
115.5115.1
Auto19.6
Teleop91.5
End12.5
blue by 42.0
163.00.7
153.2154.0
Auto21.9
Teleop119.8
End23.4
Third
3634
#30
106.94.1
112.2108.1
Auto15.1
Teleop85.1
End3.2
red by 2.1
6346
#26
104.81.4
106.8108.2
Auto14.6
Teleop81.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned