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Red305
4572116.3
3555162.7
4055142.3
Blue432
230222.1
7153106.8
4557179.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274440200400500600700305432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.70.7
152.9153.6
Auto19.9
Teleop118.8
End25.5
blue by 59.3
230
#3
222.12.6
210.2212.8
Auto28.0
Teleop162.8
End32.9
Second
4055
#16
142.30.3
138.9139.2
Auto17.8
Teleop99.5
End24.7
blue by 37.3
179.61.7
176.9178.6
Auto19.8
Teleop132.7
End27.0
Third
4572
#11
116.30.3
117.2116.9
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End9.2
red by 9.5
7153
#14
106.80.6
105.2105.8
Auto15.9
Teleop80.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed