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Red384
3958121.0
4572116.3
5687190.8
Blue183
195202.4
3634106.9
6811107.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315327100200400500600384183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.81.5
185.2186.7
Auto23.0
Teleop147.6
End22.0
blue by 11.6
195
#2
202.43.3
198.3201.7
Auto28.4
Teleop154.4
End17.6
Second
3958
#21
121.01.0
117.8118.8
Auto19.6
Teleop91.5
End12.5
red by 13.3
6811
#24
107.60.0
109.0109.0
Auto17.4
Teleop80.1
End7.0
Third
4572
#11
116.30.0
116.4116.4
Auto17.2
Teleop89.8
End9.2
red by 9.4
3634
#30
106.90.9
106.9107.8
Auto15.1
Teleop85.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed