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Red297
1099151.1
3104111.8
4557179.6
Blue422
6346104.8
95175.5
2064131.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320318280300340360380400420297422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.60.4
179.3179.7
Auto19.8
Teleop132.7
End27.0
red by 4.1
95
#1
175.52.0
168.6170.6
Auto18.8
Teleop142.6
End16.4
Second
151.11.2
148.1149.3
Auto19.0
Teleop114.9
End16.5
red by 19.9
2064
#19
131.30.8
129.0129.7
Auto17.3
Teleop101.0
End12.4
Third
3104
#22
111.80.1
111.7111.6
Auto16.9
Teleop85.3
End7.6
red by 7.0
6346
#26
104.82.3
108.3106.0
Auto14.6
Teleop81.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed