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Red270
4055142.3
5856147.7
7127116.3
Blue330
7153106.8
228165.8
3555162.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316365100200400500600270330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5856
#17
147.70.2
148.0148.2
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End18.1
blue by 18.1
228
#12
165.80.9
167.3166.4
Auto18.5
Teleop127.5
End20.4
Second
4055
#16
142.31.0
141.7142.7
Auto17.8
Teleop99.5
End24.7
blue by 20.4
162.71.9
158.0159.9
Auto19.9
Teleop118.8
End25.5
Third
7127
#23
116.30.7
113.9114.6
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.5
red by 9.5
7153
#14
106.81.5
104.5106.0
Auto15.9
Teleop80.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed