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Red374
69121.3
4557179.6
3634106.9
Blue222
6346104.8
3958121.0
155116.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358234100200300400500600374222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.61.2
167.1168.2
Auto19.8
Teleop132.7
End27.0
red by 58.7
3958
#21
121.01.0
118.5117.5
Auto19.6
Teleop91.5
End12.5
Second
69
#25
121.35.6
100.7106.3
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End7.9
red by 4.9
155
#18
116.50.1
110.6110.7
Auto15.5
Teleop90.5
End12.9
Third
3634
#30
106.911.0
90.7101.7
Auto15.1
Teleop85.1
End3.2
red by 2.1
6346
#26
104.86.5
89.996.4
Auto14.6
Teleop81.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed