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Red713
230222.1
1071120.3
178145.4
Blue181
6367107.4
5687190.8
6811107.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682520100200300400500600700713181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
222.12.9
191.4194.3
Auto28.0
Teleop162.8
End32.9
red by 31.2
190.80.9
182.7183.6
Auto23.0
Teleop147.6
End22.0
Second
178
#15
145.40.1
139.8139.7
Auto16.9
Teleop108.2
End21.5
red by 37.8
6811
#24
107.67.9
77.785.7
Auto17.4
Teleop80.1
End7.0
Third
1071
#27
120.38.5
100.1108.5
Auto13.9
Teleop89.8
End15.6
red by 13.0
6367
#28
107.410.4
77.988.3
Auto15.8
Teleop82.5
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed