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Red356
1994118.5
1094141.6
4959156.1
Blue300
1777137.3
5968110.7
1987163.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310312260280300320340360356300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4959
#23
156.10.7
157.1156.4
Auto23.2
Teleop122.2
End10.7
blue by 7.0
1987
#14
163.10.8
165.8164.9
Auto22.3
Teleop122.2
End20.1
Second
1094
#6Sur
141.61.7
131.6133.3
Auto23.0
Teleop101.5
End19.1
red by 4.2
1777
#8Sur
137.30.7
132.8133.4
Auto15.6
Teleop102.9
End20.2
Third
1994
#46
118.51.4
124.1122.7
Auto13.2
Teleop89.5
End15.3
red by 7.8
5968
#48
110.71.7
123.1121.4
Auto14.7
Teleop87.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed