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Red327
1810139.3
1939152.6
1986202.4
Blue200
6630144.3
9985110.7
3172107.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4311980100300400500600327200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#5Sur
202.40.8
202.3201.5
Auto21.9
Teleop147.1
End34.2
red by 58.1
6630
#34Sur
144.30.7
147.2146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop107.3
End16.4
Second
1939
#15
152.60.7
154.9154.2
Auto17.2
Teleop115.0
End20.1
red by 41.9
9985
#43
110.70.4
107.6107.3
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.1
Third
1810
#13
139.30.9
137.2138.1
Auto18.2
Teleop100.7
End17.0
red by 32.2
3172
#42
107.12.9
121.0118.1
Auto15.6
Teleop83.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed