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Red367
1723202.3
5801150.1
1108139.9
Blue271
3284148.2
1730175.0
1764140.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3553100100200400500600700367271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.30.2
200.8200.7
Auto24.4
Teleop152.5
End24.0
red by 27.2
1730
#12
175.01.5
178.2176.8
Auto23.7
Teleop138.3
End12.7
Second
5801
#24
150.10.8
151.9151.2
Auto19.9
Teleop113.5
End19.1
red by 1.9
3284
#29
148.20.1
146.1145.9
Auto19.0
Teleop111.7
End17.9
Third
1108
#20
139.90.5
135.9136.4
Auto19.4
Teleop105.7
End15.2
blue by 0.1
1764
#39
140.00.2
142.0141.8
Auto21.3
Teleop106.9
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed