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Red175
2410182.0
591893.2
5006148.7
Blue405
4646153.4
5013153.5
2164136.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29133102004006008001,000175405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.03.3
161.3164.6
Auto24.7
Teleop127.2
End34.6
red by 28.5
153.50.1
148.7148.6
Auto18.6
Teleop114.9
End21.2
Second
5006
#41
148.70.6
157.2156.6
Auto19.2
Teleop104.7
End22.7
blue by 4.7
4646
#16
153.40.6
149.7150.3
Auto20.1
Teleop117.3
End16.6
Third
5918
#47
93.21.4
98.897.5
Auto13.2
Teleop74.8
End6.0
blue by 43.4
2164
#31
136.50.4
132.8133.3
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed