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Red199
6424165.2
2560116.5
180299.7
Blue411
3928169.6
3937186.5
1710157.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2114400100300400500600700199411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.20.1
161.6161.5
Auto17.8
Teleop128.5
End19.3
blue by 21.3
186.50.4
185.4185.0
Auto21.9
Teleop141.3
End24.8
Second
2560
#35
116.50.1
120.4120.3
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End11.1
blue by 53.1
3928
#17
169.60.0
169.8169.8
Auto22.8
Teleop128.3
End17.1
Third
1802
#28
99.70.9
103.1102.1
Auto14.6
Teleop77.9
End8.3
blue by 57.8
1710
#21
157.40.9
160.8159.9
Auto21.0
Teleop122.5
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed