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Red289
1710157.4
1108139.9
5126127.5
Blue410
1986202.4
9989106.0
1094141.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289322100200400500600289410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#21
157.40.9
159.9159.0
Auto21.0
Teleop122.5
End12.7
blue by 45.0
202.41.0
201.5200.5
Auto21.9
Teleop147.1
End34.2
Second
1108
#20
139.90.8
136.4137.2
Auto19.4
Teleop105.7
End15.2
blue by 1.7
141.61.9
133.3135.2
Auto23.0
Teleop101.5
End19.1
Third
5126
#10
127.51.0
127.8126.8
Auto17.0
Teleop94.6
End17.9
red by 21.5
9989
#30
106.03.1
95.598.7
Auto13.1
Teleop80.6
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsEarned