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Red334
4329139.0
4959156.1
6419119.6
Blue184
5006148.7
3792147.9
1763138.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853630100200400500600334184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4959
#23
156.10.0
156.4156.3
Auto23.2
Teleop122.2
End10.7
red by 7.4
5006
#41
148.70.7
156.6155.9
Auto19.2
Teleop104.7
End22.7
Second
4329
#32
139.00.3
133.3133.6
Auto14.1
Teleop110.4
End16.9
blue by 9.0
3792
#18
147.90.7
154.4155.1
Auto16.7
Teleop120.1
End12.1
Third
6419
#26
119.60.1
118.0118.1
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End13.3
blue by 19.2
1763
#44
138.90.6
145.4144.8
Auto16.8
Teleop106.2
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed