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Red354
1806183.0
1723202.3
1769111.1
Blue147
1984128.1
5006148.7
3172107.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4112610100200300500600700354147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.30.1
200.9201.0
Auto24.4
Teleop152.5
End24.0
red by 53.6
5006
#41
148.70.1
158.4158.3
Auto19.2
Teleop104.7
End22.7
Second
1806
#11
183.00.9
188.3187.4
Auto21.3
Teleop141.1
End21.4
red by 54.9
1984
#45
128.10.6
144.2143.7
Auto19.7
Teleop95.2
End10.6
Third
1769
#19
111.10.4
112.0111.6
Auto18.7
Teleop86.4
End7.3
red by 4.0
3172
#42
107.11.2
124.1122.9
Auto15.6
Teleop83.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed