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Red230
5930141.9
1997122.8
2164136.5
Blue299
3792147.9
1108139.9
2560116.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304314200250350400450230299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5930
#25
141.92.5
134.5137.0
Auto16.9
Teleop110.6
End16.4
blue by 6.0
3792
#18
147.90.2
153.3153.5
Auto16.7
Teleop120.1
End12.1
Second
2164
#31
136.51.4
131.1132.5
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.8
blue by 3.3
1108
#20
139.90.7
134.5135.2
Auto19.4
Teleop105.7
End15.2
Third
1997
#22
122.80.0
133.4133.3
Auto18.0
Teleop91.0
End11.9
red by 6.3
2560
#35
116.51.3
118.0119.3
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed