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Red224
180299.7
1764140.0
681799.8
Blue365
1939152.6
445595.2
1777137.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264324100200300400500600224365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#39
140.00.8
140.6141.3
Auto21.3
Teleop106.9
End11.9
blue by 12.6
1939
#15
152.60.2
154.6154.4
Auto17.2
Teleop115.0
End20.1
Second
6817
#49
99.80.9
103.9104.8
Auto13.8
Teleop74.2
End12.7
blue by 37.6
137.30.4
131.4131.8
Auto15.6
Teleop102.9
End20.2
Third
1802
#28
99.70.6
104.0103.4
Auto14.6
Teleop77.9
End8.3
red by 4.5
4455
#38
95.20.5
89.489.9
Auto11.9
Teleop76.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed