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Red275
1986202.4
4329139.0
9985110.7
Blue386
5968110.7
6424165.2
2410182.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3243450200400600800275386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.40.2
202.2202.4
Auto21.9
Teleop147.1
End34.2
red by 20.4
182.02.6
156.1158.7
Auto24.7
Teleop127.2
End34.6
Second
4329
#32
139.00.6
134.7134.1
Auto14.1
Teleop110.4
End16.9
blue by 26.3
165.21.1
163.0161.9
Auto17.8
Teleop128.5
End19.3
Third
9985
#43
110.70.6
108.9108.3
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.1
red by 0.1
5968
#48
110.71.7
125.7124.0
Auto14.7
Teleop87.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed