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Red240
9989106.0
5013153.5
1987163.1
Blue70
1775137.0
6630144.3
1763138.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36931202006008001,00024070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#14
163.11.3
164.1165.4
Auto22.3
Teleop122.2
End20.1
red by 18.8
6630
#34
144.31.1
146.9148.0
Auto19.3
Teleop107.3
End16.4
Second
153.50.3
148.8149.1
Auto18.6
Teleop114.9
End21.2
red by 14.6
1763
#44
138.90.7
146.7147.4
Auto16.8
Teleop106.2
End14.8
Third
9989
#30
106.017.6
60.177.7
Auto13.1
Teleop80.6
End14.7
blue by 31.0
1775
#37
137.00.2
144.0144.2
Auto17.0
Teleop100.2
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed