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Red169
6359148.4
1763138.9
5968110.7
Blue430
1769111.1
180299.7
3937186.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295306200250350400169430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6359
#27
148.40.9
151.1150.2
Auto17.8
Teleop111.9
End20.2
blue by 38.1
186.50.2
184.4184.2
Auto21.9
Teleop141.3
End24.8
Second
1763
#44
138.91.7
144.8143.1
Auto16.8
Teleop106.2
End14.8
red by 27.8
1769
#19
111.10.2
108.8109.0
Auto18.7
Teleop86.4
End7.3
Third
5968
#48
110.72.4
119.8117.5
Auto14.7
Teleop87.6
End7.5
red by 11.0
1802
#28
99.71.1
100.899.7
Auto14.6
Teleop77.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed