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Red332
445595.2
6630144.3
1986202.4
Blue249
1994118.5
1806183.0
3284148.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309335100200400500600332249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.40.2
200.5200.8
Auto21.9
Teleop147.1
End34.2
red by 19.4
1806
#11
183.00.8
185.5184.7
Auto21.3
Teleop141.1
End21.4
Second
6630
#34
144.30.7
146.0145.3
Auto19.3
Teleop107.3
End16.4
blue by 3.9
3284
#29
148.20.4
145.9146.3
Auto19.0
Teleop111.7
End17.9
Third
4455
#38
95.21.0
93.494.4
Auto11.9
Teleop76.1
End4.0
blue by 23.3
1994
#46
118.51.1
122.1121.0
Auto13.2
Teleop89.5
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
48%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed