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Red92
1984128.1
1775137.0
1094141.6
Blue451
5930141.9
3928169.6
5006148.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281388010020050060070092451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.62.5
135.2137.6
Auto23.0
Teleop101.5
End19.1
blue by 28.0
3928
#17
169.60.4
169.6170.0
Auto22.8
Teleop128.3
End17.1
Second
1775
#37
137.00.1
140.9141.0
Auto17.0
Teleop100.2
End19.9
blue by 11.7
5006
#41
148.71.8
155.9154.1
Auto19.2
Teleop104.7
End22.7
Third
1984
#45
128.11.6
138.4136.8
Auto19.7
Teleop95.2
End10.6
blue by 13.7
5930
#25
141.91.1
139.2140.3
Auto16.9
Teleop110.6
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed