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Red329
5013153.5
1777137.3
1810139.3
Blue394
6419119.6
1982135.1
6424165.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472900100200400500329394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.50.5
149.2149.7
Auto18.6
Teleop114.9
End21.2
blue by 11.7
165.20.3
160.9161.2
Auto17.8
Teleop128.5
End19.3
Second
1810
#13
139.30.8
138.4139.3
Auto18.2
Teleop100.7
End17.0
red by 4.1
1982
#33
135.11.3
137.4136.2
Auto17.9
Teleop108.5
End11.1
Third
137.30.3
133.8134.1
Auto15.6
Teleop102.9
End20.2
red by 17.7
6419
#26
119.60.4
118.1118.5
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed