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Red255
1730175.0
3928169.6
1939152.6
Blue388
3792147.9
5013153.5
1806183.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319338100200400500255388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#12
175.00.5
174.5175.0
Auto23.7
Teleop138.3
End12.7
blue by 8.0
1806
#11
183.00.1
182.8182.6
Auto21.3
Teleop141.1
End21.4
Second
3928
#17
169.60.0
169.8169.8
Auto22.8
Teleop128.3
End17.1
red by 16.1
153.51.1
150.1151.2
Auto18.6
Teleop114.9
End21.2
Third
1939
#15
152.60.8
151.2152.0
Auto17.2
Teleop115.0
End20.1
red by 4.7
3792
#18
147.92.3
151.4149.2
Auto16.7
Teleop120.1
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned