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Red353
5801150.1
1986202.4
1777137.3
Blue229
2560116.5
1094141.6
6630144.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3982640100200300500600700353229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.40.8
200.8201.6
Auto21.9
Teleop147.1
End34.2
red by 58.1
6630
#34
144.30.4
143.9144.3
Auto19.3
Teleop107.3
End16.4
Second
5801
#24
150.10.1
150.2150.1
Auto19.9
Teleop113.5
End19.1
red by 8.6
141.61.3
139.6140.9
Auto23.0
Teleop101.5
End19.1
Third
137.31.0
135.7136.8
Auto15.6
Teleop102.9
End20.2
red by 20.8
2560
#35
116.50.3
116.8116.5
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed